Friday Cat Blogging.

March 28, 2008

It’s Fu in the sink!

photo.jpg

…and really is there anything cuter than a cat in a sink with 50’s color tile?

And via Kevin Drum a revealing look at cats in the morning.


Good f’n god.

March 27, 2008

Via Balloon-Juice

Clinton’s campaign has argued for seating the Michigan and Florida delegations, which were stripped after those states held early primaries in violation of party rules. Recent efforts to hold re-votes in those states have fallen through.

Clinton won both of those states’ primaries in January, though none of the candidates campaigned. Obama was not even on the ballot in Michigan.

Clinton said, barring a resolution on Florida and Michigan, the fight goes to convention.

“You know, you can always go to the convention. That’s what credential fights are for,” she said. “Let’s have the Democratic party go on record against seating the Michigan and Florida delegations three months before the general election? I don’t think that will happen. I think they will be seated. So that’s where we’re headed if we don’t get this worked out.”

Shorter Hillary: Fuck you until I can figure out how to become the nominee


Our Founding Fathers were pretty smart.

March 26, 2008

As commenter Cain at Balloon Juice shows:

Cain Says:

I saw this in a quote by Alexander Hamilton which sort of summarizes Hillary against Obama:

No character, however upright, is a match for constantly reiterated attacks,
however false. —Alexander Hamilton

cain

Here’s the entire paragraph (Full text here):

Was it not to have been expected that these repeated demonstrations of the injustice of the accusations hazarded against me would have abashed the enterprise of my calumniators? However natural such an expectation may seem, it would betray an ignorance of the true character of the Jacobin system. It is a maxim deeply ingrafted into that dark system, that no character, however upright, is a match for constantly reiterated attacks, however false. It is well understood by its disciples, that every calumny makes some proselites and even retains some; since justification seldom circulates as rapidly and as widely as slander. The number of those who from doubt proceed to suspicion and thence to belief of imputed guilt is continually augmenting; and the public mind fatigued at length with resistance to the calumnies which eternally assail it, is apt in the end to sit down with the opinion that a person so often accused cannot be be entirely innocent.

Wonder if Rove studied Callender?


“I took her stuff and I left”

March 26, 2008

Hillary via an a Will Bunch of the Philadelphia Daily News interview snippet from March 24th on Countdown tonight:

I was told we had to land a certain way, we had to have our bullet proof…stuff on, because of the threat of sniper fire. I was also told that the greeting ceremony had been moved away from the, uh, tarmac, but that there was this eight year old girl and I said well I have, I can’t, I can’t rush by her, I’ve got to at least greet her. So I greeted her, I took her stuff and I left. Now that’s my memory of it.

Now, I don’t know of many people that would put an eight year old girl in the middle of sniper fire, and as it turns out her latest explanation is bullshit too.


It’s Chris Bowers day at Digging Glass!!

March 26, 2008

Chris also had two other posts that I wanted to highlight today:
Delegate Math Myth and Fact: in it Chris lays out just how behind Hillary is.

Next in his endorsement of Obama Chris lays out:

 First, many people have said that there are few policy differences between Obama and Clinton, but the truth is that their telecom policies could hardly be further apart from each other. Obama proposes exactly the sort of transformative, open telecommunications policy that we need to transform the media landscape in America, while Hillary Clinton’s telecom proposals are nothing more than heinous corporate welfare. Without a transformed telecommunications landscape, we are going to have an extremely difficult time building a progressive America or passing any of our other legislation.

Telecommunication policy is going to be the key to our growth as a nation. Our current arcane policies are going to send us to a certain “second rate country” grave if we don’t wake up. Hell if we aren’t producing actual product in this nation before we better deliver  something and information is a commodity any more.


WTF?!?1?!eleventyone!1 Is an Add-On Delegate?

March 26, 2008

Now I know.

One thing I’ll respect about the GOP is their nominating process isn’t a complete cluster fuck.


“The Math” or when will Obama hit 50%+1

March 26, 2008

Personally I’m not a big fan of Chris Bowers. I think his Googlebombing is bullshit (and when you have to use a term like “search engine optimization techniques”, you’ve lost in my opinion). So I read his stuff with a skeptical eye. When I was reading his math analysis piece on Open Left, and started seeing his mention of 50%+1, I was wondering what he was trying to finesse. What new metric was he trying to drive home? Even though we both want to see Obama win, what was the angle? Then on the drive home from work it then hit me. No finesse here. 50%+1 is the time when Hillary cannot win the nomination. It’s when she becomes the Huckabee of the Democratic party. Duh…yeah I know should have been obvious when I first read it, but being the skeptic that I am, I like to ponder things.

Bowers lays out 4 scenarios:

  1. April 22nd, Pennsylvania: An Obama victory in Pennsylvania would be a huge upset, given that Clinton currently leads by an average of 16% in the state. It would also shoot down every single argument the Clinton campaign has put forth on the electability front. Pennsylvania is a big state, a swing state, a blue state, a state with a large number of working class white voters, and a state with very few independents. An Obama win here would end the campaign, and the articles pointing out that Clinton has only a small chance to win the nomination would turn into articles stating that she has no chance whatsoever. However, Clinton starts out way ahead in Pennsylvania, and it is also one of the demographically favorable states for Clinton in the entire country. A victory for Obama here is very unlikely.
  2. May 6th, Indiana and North Carolina: May 6th is shaping up to actually be much more important than April 22nd. For one thing, more pledged delegates are at stake in Indiana and North Carolina (187) than in Pennsylvania (158). Secondly, while Pennsylvania looks like a blowout, current expectations are for both May 6th states to be reasonably close. Third, May 6th is the first date when Obama can reach 1,627 pledged delegates, or 50% + 1 of pledged delegates. Right now, he needs 173.5 pledged delegates to reach 1,627, or 49.7% of the 349 to be determined between April 22 and May 6. Fourth, after May 6th, only 217 pledged delegates will remain, effectively making it the last major primary day in the nomination campaign.
    If Obama sweeps Indiana and North Carolina, while hitting 1,627 on the same day, the campaign is over. Accomplishing both goals means that Clinton will have made up absolutely no delegate ground from March 4th through May 6th, and that her final option will including winning the support of more than 70% of the remaining superdelegates. A sweep on May 6th plus hitting 1,627 would be game, set and match. The latest North Carolina poll shows Obama with a commanding lead.
  3. May 20th, Kentucky and Oregon: May 20th is the latest possible date that Obama will reach 1,627 pledged delegates. If he has failed to reach 1,627 by this point, that means he has not done well in preceding primaries. However, if he wins Oregon and reaches 1,627 on May 20th, there is an outside chance that could end the campaign.
  4. June, reaching 2,024: If the campaign has not ended after all the voting is completed on June 3rd, then the last remaining option for Obama to knock Clinton out of the campaign will be to reach 2,024 at some point in June. To do so will give him control of the credentials committee, and the majority of the non-disputed delegates on the floor of the convention. In other words, he will have secured the nomination whether or not Clinton drops out. Even a worst-case scenario for Obama at this point only requires about 40% of the undecided superdelegates to support him in order to reach 2,024 by the end of June. This would not be the ideal circumstance, and Obama would probably start out behind McCain in the general election, but reaching 2,024 does give Obama the nomination.

Bowers seems to think option #2 is the best for Obama. No argument here, but a can a sweep occur? I dunno. According to Pollster.com there has been one poll recently 2/18 that shows Obama ahead 40% to 25%. One poll does no trending data make, and I’m with Josh Marshall when it comes to polls the trends are the important part. Pollster.com also shows a strong trend for Obama in North Carolina. So we can chalk that up to Obama. But Indiana…what if he looses there? What if it’s a tie? Or a small win by either candidate? I’m no delegate math genius, I’ll leave that to Chris and Chuck Todd, but it seems that if they split Indiana and NC, we’re in it until the convention.